Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000105 0.000116 0.000128 0.000142 0.000157 0.000174 0.000193
2025-12-21 0.000089 0.000104 0.000121 0.000142 0.000167 0.000196 0.000231
2025-12-28 0.000076 0.000094 0.000115 0.000141 0.000175 0.000215 0.000268
2026-01-04 0.000068 0.000087 0.000111 0.000143 0.000185 0.000239 0.000312
2026-01-11 0.000061 0.000081 0.000107 0.000144 0.000194 0.000259 0.000354
2026-01-18 0.000055 0.000075 0.000103 0.000143 0.000200 0.000278 0.000394
2026-01-25 0.000049 0.000070 0.000099 0.000143 0.000206 0.000296 0.000435
2026-02-01 0.000045 0.000066 0.000096 0.000143 0.000212 0.000315 0.000480
2026-02-08 0.000041 0.000062 0.000093 0.000141 0.000216 0.000329 0.000518
2026-02-15 0.000038 0.000059 0.000090 0.000140 0.000220 0.000346 0.000561
2026-02-22 0.000036 0.000056 0.000088 0.000140 0.000226 0.000365 0.000609
2026-03-01 0.000033 0.000053 0.000085 0.000139 0.000230 0.000380 0.000651
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000051 0.000084 0.000141 0.000239 0.000406 0.000716
2026-03-15 0.000029 0.000049 0.000082 0.000141 0.000246 0.000429 0.000777
2026-03-22 0.000027 0.000047 0.000080 0.000140 0.000250 0.000446 0.000832
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000046 0.000079 0.000142 0.000260 0.000475 0.000909
2026-04-05 0.000025 0.000044 0.000078 0.000143 0.000267 0.000498 0.000978
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000042 0.000076 0.000142 0.000271 0.000519 0.001043
2026-04-19 0.000022 0.000040 0.000074 0.000141 0.000275 0.000538 0.001108
2026-04-26 0.000021 0.000039 0.000073 0.000141 0.000281 0.000561 0.001182
2026-05-03 0.000019 0.000037 0.000071 0.000140 0.000283 0.000575 0.001241
2026-05-10 0.000018 0.000036 0.000069 0.000139 0.000286 0.000594 0.001311
2026-05-17 0.000018 0.000035 0.000068 0.000139 0.000292 0.000618 0.001394